Bridge Builders: Belt and Road
Michele Geraci: The architect of Italy’s Belt and Road participation
The significance of the Belt and Road Initiative today, in my view, is almost the same as the Ancient Silk Road when Marco Polo went to China.
In March 2019, Italy officially joined the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), becoming the first G7 member country to participate in this platform for multilateral cooperation. Michele Geraci, former Undersecretary of State at Italy's Ministry of Economic Development, was the main architect behind the historical move.
The Italian politician living in China for a decade as economist
Michele Geraci is many things. He's a politician, once nominated as a candidate for the Italian Prime Minister and still deeply connected with the government. He's an economist, a professor of finance, now teaching at the University of Nottingham Ningbo China and New York University in Shanghai. And he's an adopted expert in all things Chinese, speaking fluent Mandarin after having lived in China for 10 years.
Geraci first visited China in the 1990s as the country's economic transformation was accelerating. "Memories I have were in Shanghai, cranes, highways being built, noise and dust…You could feel that the city was going through a complete change," he tells CGTN.
After enjoying an amazing experience during the Beijing Olympics in 2008, he made up his mind to live and work in China. During that event, he talked to many journalists and athletes who arrived in China with a stereotype of the country being very under-developed.
"Instead, they saw highways, high rise buildings, a fantastic Bird's Nest – the Olympic infrastructure was first class in the world," Geraci recalls. "They suddenly woke up to the idea that China was coming of age and becoming an economic power."
From 2008 to 2018, Geraci worked in China as a university professor and an economist – and had to immerse himself in the language and culture. He still remembers his first class was taught in Chinese – and he had to review students' homework and final exams in handwritten Chinese.
"That completely skyrocketed and forced me to learn Chinese."
Understanding both city and rural economy in China
To gain a deeper understanding of China's economy, in 2019, Geraci began filming documentaries about farmers in remote mountainous areas of Southwest China's Guizhou Province. In fluent Mandarin, he talked to local villagers about their poverty alleviation experiences.
Geraci believes that to fully understand the Chinese economic development model and the commercial opportunities that this country offers, we first have to understand how the rural economy works. His documentaries deal with the issue of farmers' income and how it has evolved over these 40 years of reforms.
During his 10 years living in China, Geraci witnessed a transportation transformation. "Ten years ago, there were only 100 kilometers of high-speed train. Today there are about 40,000 kilometers," he marvels. "I'm a big fan as an economist of seeing transport be the driver of economic growth and transformation. And this is indeed what we are trying to also do here in Italy."
Italy a natural terminal of Belt and Road Initiative
He's "here" in Italy because he was called back to serve his country – in government. In 2018, Geraci was recruited by the Italian Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini, for his knowledge and experience in China. He became the Undersecretary of State at Italian Ministry of Economic Development, responsible for trade.
"I was the one that really pushed for Italy to join the Belt and Road because I could see the benefits for Italy to cooperate with Chinese companies," he explains.
In March 2019, Chinese President Xi Jinping paid a state visit to Italy, during which the two countries signed a memorandum of understanding – and Italy officially became the first G7 member country to join the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
"The significance of the Belt and Road Initiative today, in my view, is almost the same as the Ancient Silk Road when Marco Polo went to China," Geraci says. "The geography hasn't changed."
Indeed not, and that's to Italy's advantage. Located in the center of the Mediterranean, with one of the world's longest coastlines and several ports, Italy's unique geographical advantages make it a natural BRI terminal.
Its ports and transportation system enable the BRI to reach the heart of Europe. At the same time, BRI also works in line with Italy's national development strategy. China and Italy have since deepened cooperation in various fields such as economy, trade, tourism, culture and education.
"I thought that signing the Belt and Road for Italy was a natural crowning of what people many years ago started doing, to stimulate trade," Geraci says.
'Disastrous economic consequences' for Italy to leave BRI
Recently, there have been many opposition voices calling on Italy to leave the BRI. But Geraci said Italy leaving would bring disastrous economic consequences.
Data shows that from 2018 to 2021, Italian exports to China increased by 20 percent. Its exports to China now reach $50 billion, accounting for just under 3 percent of its GDP.
"None of us analysts believe that if Italy were to do this wrong move to exit the Belt and Road, the relationship could continue as before. That's not the case," says Geraci. "It's like telling a girlfriend 'We split up but we will be friends' – it's not something you want to bet on."
He said that the implementation of some BRI projects over the past three years has not been ideal largely due to the COVID pandemic. Now with life returning to normal, both parties can move forward with projects.
"I think that the relationship between Italy and China will continue to flourish in the long term because it's a natural partnership," he insists.
He also realizes that there is a misperception among some observers that Italy is part of the European Union and an ally of the United States, so it cannot do business with China and should not join the BRI.
"Even the United States, who is of course in NATO, they want to do more business with China. They want to sell more made-in-America goods to China," Geraci says. "All the things that European companies complain about, in the MOU [memorandum of understanding] of the Belt and Road, we have China committing to improving on those areas."
'It took Marco Polo years to travel to China, but only 10 hours for me'
Asked about being labeled as a contemporary Marco Polo, Geraci laughs. He points out that it took Polo several years to get from Italy to China, but the modern traveler only needs a 10-hour flight.
However, he realizes that today's complicated international environment requires more Bridge Builders like him to help the mutual communication between China and the West.
He will continue to work in politics and academia. On one hand, he can observe the Chinese economy from an academic perspective, and on the other, he can better help Italy understand China through political resources.
"I think with the increase of understanding, like we do in finance, you lower the perception of risk," he says. "When you lower the perception of risk, you increase the propensity to do things together – and this is the goal."
Mr. Geraci with Jin Liqun, President of AIIB (top) and Zhou Xiaochuan, former Governor of PBOC (bottom). /Michele Geraci
Michele GerMr. Geraci with Jin Liqun, President of AIIB (top) and Zhou Xiaochuan, former Governor of PBOC (bottom). /Michele Geraci
A birthday cake given by students. /Michele Geraci
A birthday cake given by students. /Michele Geraci
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